The Bradley Effect?

The "Bradley effect" is named for Tom Bradley, an African-American candidate who was running for Governor of California in 1982.




Many of the voter polls leading up to the election had Tom Bradley well ahead of the Republican candidate George Deukmejian. In fact, based on the exit polls, a number of media outlets had already projected him as the winner. Bradley ultimately lost the race.

The "Bradley effect" refers to an alleged tendency on the part of some voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his or her white opponent.

An example of this theory was quite possibly seen earlier this year during the New Hampshire Democratic primary.

Take a very close look at this AOL poll (Taken today).



Right now, if you are asking yourself: "what the fuck does someone's skin color have to do with their ability to be President of the United States" ... Congratulations ... you are not a racist.

Sometimes you need to read between the lines to find an answer to a very simple question.

Jon and I are on the same page

Note: My comments on Bristol Palin and Jamie Lynn Spears came a day before this piece aired on Comedy Central.

Just in case you thought I was stealing ideas.



To his credit ... Jon is a lot funnier than I am.

Pandering with Palin

It is translucently clear why Sarah Palin has been picked to run on the ticket with John McCain.

Republicans are obviously targeting women.

Primarily, the disenchanted Hillary Clinton supporters who are still reeling from her loss to Barack Obama.




Do they really think women are stupid enough to buy into this?

This faux woman has about as many things in common with Hillary Clinton as Bob Guccione has with Mother Theresa.

In fact, Palin has openly accused Clinton of being a "whiner"

*Sarah is fanactically pro-life and pro NRA.

*Palin is also the subject of a legislative probe into claims that she abused her office by trying to get her former brother-in-law fired from his job as an Alaska state trooper.

*In this clip from Kudlow and Co., she addresses this investigation and actually asks the question "What is it exactly that the Vice President does?




*She firmly believes that global warming is not a man-made phenomenom.

*She strongly supports drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.

*She has supported the aerial shooting of wolves and bears in Alaska.




*She politically supports Pebble Mine, an open-pit gold mine which will destroy some of the best trout and salmon fishing grounds in the world.

Are you kidding me?

I can only take a wild guess at the right-wing moron that must have headed up this selection committee?




This choice is so surprisingly bad, that it makes me laugh and simultaneously breathe a sigh of relief.

Sarah Palin stands about as much chance of being Vice President as I stand of being the President.

The numbers look bad

Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama won endorsements from five superdelegates yesterday and one today, erasing rival Hillary Clinton's long-held lead in backing from party officials and lawmakers.




With the Bloomberg superdelegate count now standing at 277 to 274 in Obama's favor, Hillary Clinton's presidential bid now looks mathematically impossible.

Their Better Halves

I must admit that I am a bit of a political junkie.

I stayed up late last night to watch the Rhode Island, Vermont, Texas and Ohio primaries, and I was very happy with the results.

I was a firm supporter of John Edwards, and I must also admit that I have spoken out against Hillary's electability in the past.

However, between the two remaining Democratic candidates, I am now backing and voting for Hillary Clinton.

Never underestimate the intelligence of the American Voter.



-Some Americans choose their candidate for their positions on the issues.

-Others vote for the candidate they think is the most able to lead this country.

-And others will cast their vote based on the past voting record of the candidates themselves.

Frankly, I think that is totally silly.

The obvious deciding factor should be the spouse of the candidate.

Let's take a look ... shall we?


WE CAN START WITH THE REPUBLICANS

First there is Janet Huckabee.



*She certainly is a solid woman.

*As a right winger, you are going to love her ability to handle a gun.

*It doesn't stop there. She also knows how to rock the big stuff.


Then there is Cindy McCain.



*There is no denying that she is a very beautiful and classy lady.

*Bonus: She stands by her man ... despite rumors that John might have been screwing lobbyist Vicki Iseman.





NOW FOR THE DEMOCRATS

First there is Michelle Obama.



*I don't know about you guys, but this woman really scares me.
(I think she scares Barack too)

*I seriously think she could kick Janet Huckabee's ass.
(And that says a lot)


This leaves me with one very obvious choice.


SIR BILL



*I need eight more years of Bill in the White House.

Who asked you?

John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic presidential nominee, gave Barack Obama a timely endorsement Thursday, snubbing Hillary Rodham Clinton as well as his own vice presidential running mate, John Edwards.




Now it would seem that Barack only needs the endorsement of one more Democratic legend to have the political full house.